Article Sidebar

Download
PDF
Statistic
Read Counter : 55 Download : 21

Main Article Content

Abstract

The conflict between Russia and Ukraine escalated into a full-scale war following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in 2022. Since then, both parties have engaged in several negotiation efforts aimed at resolving the conflict. However, from all those negotiations conducted none of them produce any agreement or any framework to resolve the conflict. This is seen by the researcher as a deadlocked situation within the negotiation. By using qualitative descriptive research with document analysis using Faure’s deadlock within negotiation framework, this research indicates that negotiation between Russia and Ukraine for resolving their conflict has reached a deadlocked situation. This research also found that several factors such as process, strategy, and contextual factor that are contributing to the deadlock situation within the negotiation. The findings suggest that these factors are creating a condition where during negotiations strategies adopted by both countries during negotiation and social, political, and legal pressure from within the countries makes them have very little maneuver during the negotiation, which creates a lack of any substantial agreement from the negotiation to resolve the conflict. This research contributes to the limited amount of discourse regarding the negotiation conditions that occurred between Russia and Ukraine for resolving their conflict, offering a new perspective by applying Faure’s indicators and factors such as Process, Strategy, and Contextual towards this issue.

Keywords

Russia Ukraine War Negotiation Deadlock

Article Details

Creative Commons License

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.

How to Cite
Yusuf, D., Sumadinata, R. W. S., & Akim. (2026). Process, Strategy, and Contextual: The Deadlock Situation in The Negotiation for Resolving Conflict Between Russia and Ukraine (2022-2025) . Ilomata International Journal of Social Science, 7(1), 330-345. https://doi.org/10.61194/ijss.v7i1.2046

References

  1. ABC News. (2022, March 3). Ukraine and Russia end second round of peace talks in regret, as reports dispute port city’s fall. ABC News. https://www.abc.net.au/news/2022-03-04/ukraine-and-russia-meet-for-second-round-of-peace-talks/100880588#Top
  2. Al Jazeera. (2022, March 10). ‘No progress’ as top Russia, Ukraine diplomats talk in Turkey. Al Jazeera News Agency. https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2022/3/10/top-russia-ukraine-diplomats-arrive-in-turkey-for-talks
  3. Allison, R. (2022). Russia, Ukraine and state survival through neutrality. International Affairs, 98(6), 1849–1872. https://doi.org/10.1093/ia/iiac230
  4. Anyalebechi, S. M., & Hart, A. O. (2025). Russian-Ukrainian 2022 Istanbul Peace Talks: A Catalyst for Conflict or a Path to Peace. Journal of Political Science and Leadership Research, 11(9). https://doi.org/10.56201/jpslr.vol.11.no9.2025.pg109.122
  5. Aris, B. (2022, March 4). Second round of Russia, Ukraine peace talks ends with no progress, assault on Kyiv looms. Bne IntelliNews. https://www.intellinews.com/second-round-of-russia-ukraine-peace-talks-ends-with-no-progress-assault-on-kyiv-looms-236977/
  6. Åtland, K. (2024). War, diplomacy, and more war: why did the Minsk agreements fail? International Politics, 1–18. https://doi.org/10.1057/s41311-024-00637-x
  7. Bachleitner, K. (2025). No Land to Give: Wartime Narratives and the Symbolic Value of Territory. Global Studies Quarterly, 5(3). https://doi.org/10.1093/isagsq/ksaf091
  8. Balmforth, T., & Maclean, W. (2025, June 1). Ukrainian proposals for June 2 talks with Russia in Istanbul. Reuters. https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/ukrainian-proposals-june-2-talks-with-russia-istanbul-2025-06-01/
  9. Barreto, V., & Gormezano, D. (2025, June 5). War in Ukraine: What’s in the Russian memorandum? France 24 News Agency. https://www.france24.com/en/europe/20250605-war-in-ukraine-what-s-in-the-russian-memorandum
  10. Batta, A. (2024). Roadblocks to Peace in Russia’s War in Ukraine. Orbis Journal, 68(4), 666–676. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.orbis.2024.09.010
  11. Belton, C. (2022, March 7). Russia will stop ‘in a moment’ if Ukraine meets terms. Reuters. https://www.reuters.com/world/kremlin-says-russian-military-action-will-stop-moment-if-ukraine-meets-2022-03-07/
  12. Bramsen, I., & Svensson, I. (2024). Peace Talks in the Russia-Ukraine War: When, Who, and How? International Negotiation, 1–20. https://doi.org/10.1163/15718069-bja10106
  13. Butler, M. J. (2024). Ripeness obscured: inductive lessons from Türkiye’s (transactional) mediation in the Russia–Ukraine war. International Journal of Conflict Management, 35(1), 104–128. https://doi.org/10.1108/IJCMA-12-2022-0215
  14. Charap, S., & Radchenko, S. (2024, April 16). The Talks That Could Have Ended the War in Ukraine. Foreign Affairs. https://www.foreignaffairs.com/ukraine/talks-could-have-ended-war-ukraine
  15. Council of Europe. (1996). Constitution of Ukraine. https://rm.coe.int/constitution-of-ukraine/168071f58b
  16. dos Reis, F., & Grzybowski, J. (2024). Moving ‘red lines’: The Russian–Ukrainian war and the pragmatic (mis-)use of international law. Global Constitutionalism, 13(2), 317–339. https://doi.org/10.1017/S2045381723000175
  17. Fadli, M. R. (2021). Memahami desain metode penelitian kualitatif. HUMANIKA, 21(1), 33–54. https://doi.org/10.21831/hum.v21i1.38075
  18. Faure, G. O. (2005). Deadlocks in Negotiation Dynamics. In Escalation and Negotiation in International Conflicts (pp. 23–50). Cambridge University Press.
  19. Fesenko, V. (2024). Paradoxes and Prospects for Negotiations to End the War Between Russia and Ukraine. UKRAINIAN ANALYTICAL DIGEST, 4, 2–6. https://doi.org/10.3929/ethz-b-000656671
  20. Fischer, S. (2022). Peace talks between Russia and Ukraine: mission impossible. Berlin: Stiftung Wissenschaft Und Politik -SWP- Deutsches Institut Für Internationale Politik Und Sicherheit, 2–7. https://doi.org/10.18449/2022C65
  21. Fornusek, M. (2025). Number of Ukrainians open to territorial concessions rises to 38%, poll shows. The Kyiv Independent. https://kyivindependent.com/38-percent-ukrainians-territorial-concessions/
  22. Grønmo, S. (2020). Social Research Methods: Qualitative, Quantitative and Mixed Methods Approaches. SAGE Publications.
  23. Gunawan, Y., & Prasetyo, R. Y. (2025). Mediating invasion conflict by the UN: Case of the invasion of Ukraine. Multidisciplinary Reviews, 8(3). https://doi.org/10.31893/multirev.2025082
  24. Harding, L., & Koshiw, I. (2022, September 30). Ukraine applies for Nato membership after Russia annexes territory. The Guardian. https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/sep/30/ukraine-applies-for-nato-membership-after-russia-annexes-territory
  25. Hellegers, P. (2022). Food security vulnerability due to trade dependencies on Russia and Ukraine. Food Security, 14(6), 1503–1510. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12571-022-01306-8
  26. Hynek, N., & Šenk, M. (2025). Ukraine–Russia peace plans: historical lessons, operationalising criteria, and comparative assessment. Peacebuilding, 1–22. https://doi.org/10.1080/21647259.2025.2585235
  27. Keliauskaite, U., Tagliapietra, S., & Zachmann, G. (2025, April 2). Europe urgently needs a common strategy on Russian gas. Bruegel. https://www.bruegel.org/analysis/europe-urgently-needs-common-strategy-russian-gas
  28. Knott, E. (2023). Existential nationalism: Russia’s war against Ukraine. Nations and Nationalism, 29(1), 45–52. https://doi.org/10.1111/nana.12878
  29. Kullab, S., & Morton, E. (2025). Zelenskyy rejects formally ceding Ukrainian territory, says Kyiv must be part of any negotiations. Associated Press. https://apnews.com/article/russia-ukraine-war-putin-trump-summit-zelenskyy-a01a6dbae85b10cc710c48f1558c1401
  30. Lawry, L. L., Mani, V., Hamm, T., Janvrin, M., Juman, L., Korona-Bailey, J., Maddox, J., Berezyuk, O., Schoenfeld, A., & Koehlmoos, T. (2025). Qualitative assessment of combat-related injury patterns and injury prevention in Ukraine since the Russian invasion. BMJ Military Health, military-2024-002863. https://doi.org/10.1136/military-2024-002863
  31. Lukiv, J., & Shevchenko, V. (2025, June 3). Russia and Ukraine fail again to agree ceasefire but commit to prisoner swap. BBC News Agency. https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/clyng4dknwwo
  32. Megoran, N. (2024). Is the Ukraine War a Territorial Dispute? Geographical Contributions to Understanding and Resolving the Russo-Ukrainian Conflict [A guerra na Ucrânia é uma disputa territorial? Contribuições geográficas para a compreensão e resolução do conflito russo-ucraniano] [¿Es la guerra de Ucrania una disputa territorial? Contribuciones geográficas para comprender y resolver el conflicto ruso-ucraniano]. Geopolitica(s), 15(1), 33–57. https://doi.org/10.5209/geop.96493
  33. Neik, T. X., Siddique, K. H. M., Mayes, S., Edwards, D., Batley, J., Mabhaudhi, T., Song, B. K., & Massawe, F. (2023). Diversifying agrifood systems to ensure global food security following the Russia–Ukraine crisis. Frontiers in Sustainable Food Systems, 7. https://doi.org/10.3389/fsufs.2023.1124640
  34. Nychyk, A., & D’Anieri, P. (2025). Ukrainian public opinion and the path to peace with Russia. East European Politics, 1–23. https://doi.org/10.1080/21599165.2025.2538481
  35. Pruitt, D. G. (1981). Negotiation Behaviour. Academic Press.
  36. Sauer, P. (2025, June 22). One million and counting: Russian casualties hit milestone in Ukraine war. The Guardian. https://www.theguardian.com/world/ng-interactive/2025/jun/22/one-million-and-counting-russian-casualties-hit-milestone-in-ukraine-war
  37. Shamim, S. (2025, May 15). Significant step: Russia-Ukraine talks in Turkiye – what to expect. Al Jazeera News Agency. https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/5/15/significant-step-russia-ukraine-talks-in-turkiye-what-to
  38. Smeltz, D., El Baz, L., & Denis, V. (2024). Russians More Interested in Peace Talks with Ukraine, but Most Oppose Making Major Concessions. The Chicago Council on Global Affairs. https://globalaffairs.org/research/public-opinion-survey/russians-more-interested-peace-talks-ukraine-most-oppose-making
  39. Zhang, Q., Hu, Y., Jiao, J., & Wang, S. (2024). The impact of Russia–Ukraine war on crude oil prices: an EMC framework. Humanities and Social Sciences Communications, 11(1), 8. https://doi.org/10.1057/s41599-023-02526-9
  40. Zinets, N. (2022, February 27). Ukraine and Russia agree to talks without preconditions, Zelenskiy says. Reuters. https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/ukraine-russia-agree-talks-without-preconditions-zelenskiy-says-2022-02-27/